Opinion

Hybrid War at Sea


by Frank Diegel - published on 25 March 2025 3153 -

Electronic warfare in the Baltic Sea is escalating rapidly, with GPS and AIS disruptions posing growing risks to maritime navigation. Russia’s hybrid strategy is targeting both safety and stability in one of Europe’s most critical shipping regions. Pilots and crews now face a new reality: navigating under threat.

In 2025, the Baltic Sea has become a key battleground for electronic warfare, with a sharp rise in GPS and AIS spoofing and jamming incidents—now increasingly impacting coastal regions and major shipping lanes. These disruptions, largely attributed to Russian activity near Kaliningrad, threaten both commercial and military maritime navigation. The timing is no coincidence: Russia is responding to NATO’s expansion, especially after Finland and Sweden joined the alliance. As NATO strengthens its eastern flank, Russia appears determined to destabilize the region through hybrid tactics rather than open confrontation.

For modern shipping, GNSS-based positioning is critical for route planning, port approaches, and safe navigation in restricted waters. However, marine pilots and ship crews now face growing difficulties: incorrect positioning data, unexpected course and speed deviations, and full signal outages are becoming frequent. These interferences not only increase the risk of navigational errors, near misses, or groundings, but also complicate operations in high-traffic or environmentally complex areas where precision is essential.

The psychological and operational impact is mounting. Continuous interference undermines confidence in navigation systems, forcing crews to revert to more manual alternatives such as radar, visual bearings, and inertial navigation. While effective, these methods require greater effort, concentration, and experience—placing added strain on personnel and reducing operational efficiency. Portable Pilot Units (PPUs), commonly used by pilots, must now be equipped to detect spoofing or jamming and issue alerts in real time.

This is not just a safety issue—it’s a strategic one. Russia’s electronic warfare campaign is part of a broader hybrid strategy aimed at undermining NATO cohesion, disrupting commercial operations, and shaping the perception that the Baltic Sea is contested space, not NATO-controlled. The economic impact is already visible: shipping delays, rising insurance premiums, and increasing costs for route planning and monitoring. These disruptions ripple through global supply chains, especially given the Baltic’s role as a vital trade corridor.

Addressing this threat requires a multi-layered response. In addition to technological upgrades such as GNSS interference detection and the use of redundant systems like eLoran or alternative satellite constellations, there must be heightened awareness among pilots and navigators. Rapid identification of position anomalies and suspicious signals is essential. Just as important is international cooperation—to monitor interference patterns, share intelligence, and coordinate countermeasures.

In summary, the surge in electronic interference across the Baltic is not random—it is a deliberate and growing threat. Maritime safety, economic stability, and strategic control of one of Europe’s busiest sea routes are at stake. NATO, maritime authorities, and the shipping industry must respond with urgency, resilience, and unity to safeguard this critical region.

#marinepilots #gnss #navigation #ppu
Editor's note:
Opinion pieces reflect the personal opinion of individual authors. They do not allow any conclusions to be drawn about a prevailing opinion in the respective editorial department. Opinion pieces might be deliberately formulated in a pronounced or even explicit tone and may contain biased arguments. They might be intended to polarise and stimulate discussion. In this, they deliberately differ from the factual articles you typically find on this platform, written to present facts and opinions in as balanced a manner as possible.
Maritime software and hardware development, digitalisation


Frank Diegel is the CEO and founder of Marine-Pilots.com and the CEO of the IT company TRENZ too. His company is located in Bremen (Bremerhaven). He has studied computer science. For more than 15 years he has been developing hard- and software especially for pilots. The topic of digitalisation in shipping is his great passion.
What's your opinion on this?
Login or register to write comments and join the discussion!
Read more...

Video GIDAS - GNSS Interference Detection & Analysis System

published on 29 April 2021

OHB Digital Solutions GmbH develops systems for monitoring the GNSS frequency bands as well as detection, classification and localization of intentional or unintentional interference sources. Many stakeholders and applications as well as critical infrastructure providers are relying on GNSS to provide their services. Since Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) are widely used in safety and value critical applications, GIDAS detects, classifies and localizes any GNSS interference...

0

Article New Study on GNSS Interference in the Baltic Sea

by GPSPATRON Sp. z o. o. - published on 12 March 2025

GNSS interference has become a growing challenge in the Baltic Sea, affecting maritime navigation, aviation, and critical infrastructure. While numerous datasets and services, such as gpsjam.org, spoofing.skai-data-services.com, and flightradar24, report high-altitude GNSS interference based on ADS-B data, there is a significant lack of studies focusing on ground-level interference.

3

Article Navigation alternative in the event of GNSS failure due to jamming or spoofing

by TRENZ GmbH - published on 7 April 2025

What happens when GNSS fails? In maritime navigation, this isn’t a hypothetical scenario – it’s a growing risk. Spoofing, jamming, and GNSS outages are increasing, especially in the Baltic Sea region. A failure can cripple navigation systems – with potentially serious consequences.

1

Video Presenting OpenBridge Design System at DSD2020 in Oslo

published on 6 May 2020

I recently presented the OpenBridge design system at the Design System Day 2020 in Oslo. I talked about what OpenBridge is, how it differs from other design systems and where we are heading.
The conference was moved online due to the Corona virus, so I had to record the presentation using my mobile phone, and get Jon Olav from the lab to add the slides. So - apologize for the home quality of the presentation, but I hope you enjoy learning more about our work!
Since we launched the free...

0

Video Course Stability under wind - advice for various conditions

by Knud Benedict - published on 7 March 2022

Another video by Knud Benedict: This movie reveals some practical insight into regions of course stable / unstable conditions under wind. And I dare to say you can get some insight into other stability types and analogies, too!

0

Video Brazilian Pilotage Maneuver Simulation Center

published on 14 June 2022

Maneuvering ships are complex operations with high-risk involved. Just like nautical projects, they need to be simulated on training centers before approved. In a scenario of growing ships and limited waterways, state-of-the-art technology is essential to safely increase ports efficiency. That is why Brazilian Pilotage brought the most modern bridge simulator next to the maritime regulatory entities. Located a few minutes from government agencies, in the brazilian capital, our training...

1

Video Very descriptive: Piston Effect when entering lock.

published on 10 May 2020

Two new locks were introduced in 2009 for training in the new Panama lock conditions with or without tug(s). This video shows the famous "piston effect" when entering the lock at an impressive speed of 10 knots with a high blockage factor.
Port Revel provides shiphandling training using manned models for maritime pilots, masters and officers: http://www.portrevel.com

0

Article Human Error in Pilotage Operations

published on 3 December 2024

This article was first published back in September 2021: Pilotage operations require close interaction between human and machines. This complex sociotechnical system is necessary to safely and efficiently maneuver a vessel in constrained waters.

0

Video PilotVessel "KOON"

published on 19 February 2022

#PilotVessel "KOON"/ On board #BulkCarrierShip "PMS EDELWEISS" at anchor in #ZonaComún #Anchorage #pilots #pilotonboard #RioDeLaPlata #Argentina This video shows, the moment when the Pilot Vessel "KOON", finished with the Boarding Operations in #ZonaComún and She was proceding to #LaPlataHarbour . These images were taken on board the Vessel "PMS EDELWEISS" when she was at anchor awaiting high tide, in Zona Común Anchorage Area #RioDeLaPlata. Bulk Carrier Ship "PMS EDELWEISS" - IMO Number:...

0

Video Kaarstoe, Norway: Berthing at Jetty 2 of Gassco-Terminal

published on 14 June 2021

In this video you can see the modern port service provided by the port. They have big LNG Powered Tug, modern pilot boat, nicely laid out berth, and experienced/competent pilot.

0